The Prediction Method of Large-Scale Land Subsidence Based on Multi-Temporal InSAR and Machine Learning

Luo Huiyuan, Xu Qiang, Jiang Yanan, Meng Ran, Pu Chuanhao

PDF(5408 KB)
PDF(5408 KB)
Earth Science ›› 2024, Vol. 49 ›› Issue (05) : 1736-1745. DOI: 10.3799/dqkx.2023.048

The Prediction Method of Large-Scale Land Subsidence Based on Multi-Temporal InSAR and Machine Learning

Author information +
History +

Abstract

Land subsidence is the loss of land elevation formed by a combination of natural and human factors. To prevent the delayed progressive geohazards, it is essential to predict large-scale land subsidence with high efficiency. However, the current prediction methods usually neglect spatial characteristics of land subsidence, which are time-consuming due to the issue of single-point cycle. To address the problem, a new prediction method of large-scale land subsidence based on multi-temporal InSAR and machine learning is proposed. Firstly, the large-scale land subsidence time series information is obtained by the SBAS-InSAR technique. Secondly, the spatial modes and the consistent principal components (PCs) are extracted from the time series information with the empirical orthogonal function (EOF). Finally, the PCs are trained and predicted by predictive model based on the ridge polynomial neural network with error-output feedbacks (RPNN-EOF), and the outcomes are reconstructed back to the land subsidence time series. The 84-view Sentinel-1A data from August 2018 to May 2021 of Yan’an New District were adopted in the land subsidence time seriesacquisition. Simultaneously, the spatial modes extracted by EOF can clearly reveal the spatial variation characteristics of the whole new district. The prediction results show that the root mean square error and modeling time of the proposed method is reduced by at least 22.7% and 27.5% respectively, in comparison with that by the single-point cycle pattern and the prevailing time series methods. Thus it has good practicality and applicability.

Key words

machine learning / time series prediction / empirical orthogonal functions / spatial modalities / neural networks / multi-temporal InSAR / land subsidence / hazards

Cite this article

Download Citations
Luo Huiyuan , Xu Qiang , Jiang Yanan , et al . The Prediction Method of Large-Scale Land Subsidence Based on Multi-Temporal InSAR and Machine Learning. Earth Science. 2024, 49(05): 1736-1745 https://doi.org/10.3799/dqkx.2023.048

References

Chen, Y., He, Y., Zhang, L. F., et al., 2021. Prediction of InSAR Deformation Time-Series Using a Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 42(18): 6919-6942. https://doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2021.1947540
Ding, Q., Shao, Z. F., Huang, X., et al., 2021. Monitoring, Analyzing and Predicting Urban Surface Subsidence: A Case Study of Wuhan City, China. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 102: 102422. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2021.102422
Fan, Z.L., Zhang, Y.H., 2019. Research Progress on Intelligent Algorithms Based Ground Subsidence Prediction. Geomatics & Spatial Information Technology, 42(5): 183-188 (in Chinese with English abstract).
Gao, H., Song, Q. C., Huang, J., 2016. Subgrade Settlement Prediction Based on Least Square Support Vector Regession and Real-Coded Quantum Evolutionary Algorithm. International Journal of Grid and Distributed Computing, 9(7): 83-90. https://doi.org/10.14257/ijgdc.2016.9.7.09
Gers, F. A., Schmidhuber, J., Cummins, F., 2000. Learning to Forget: Continual Prediction with LSTM. Neural Computation, 12(10): 2451-2471. https://doi.org/10.1162/089976600300015015
Hill, P., Biggs, J., Ponce-López, V., et al., 2021. Time Series Prediction Approaches to Forecasting Deformation in Sentinel 1 InSAR Data. Journal of Geophysical Research (Solid Earth), 126(3): e2020JB020176. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JB020176
Jin, B. J., Yin, K. L., Gui, L., et al., 2022. Evaluation of Ground Subsidence Susceptibility of Transmission Line Towers in Salt Lake Area Based on Remote Sensing Interpretation. Earth Science, 1-13 (in Chinese with English abstract).
Li, H. J., Zhu, L., Dai, Z. X., et al., 2021. Spatiotemporal Modeling of Land Subsidence Using a Geographically Weighted Deep Learning Method Based on PS-InSAR. Science of the Total Environment, 799: 149244. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.149244
Li, L., 2014. Study on Forecasting Model of Land Subsidence and Its Application (Dissertation). Chang’an University, Chang’an (in Chinese with English abstract).
Li, X., Li, L. C., Song, Y. X., et al., 2019. Characterization of the Mechanisms Underlying Loess Collapsibility for Land-Creation Project in Shaanxi Province, China—A Study from a Micro Perspective. Engineering Geology, 249: 77-88. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2018.12.024
Liu, Q.H., Zhang, Y.H., Deng, M., et al., 2021. Time Series Prediction Method of Large-Scale Surface Subsidence Based on Deep Learning. Acta Geodaetica et Cartographica Sinica, 50(3): 396-404 (in Chinese with English abstract).
Lorenz, E. N., 1956. Empirical Orthogonal Functions and Statistical Weather Prediction. Massachusetts Institute of Technology Department of Meteorology, Cambridge, 31-69.
Luo, Z. J., Wang, X., Dai, J., et al., 2022. Research on the Influence of Land Subsidence on the Minable Groundwater Resources. Earth Science, 49(1) : 238-252 (in Chinese with English abstract).
Nikolopoulos, K., Goodwin, P., Patelis, A., et al., 2007. Forecasting with Cue Information: A Comparison of Multiple Regression with Alternative Forecasting Approaches. European Journal of Operational Research, 180(1): 354-368. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2006.03.047
Phi, T. H., Strokova, L. A., 2015. Prediction Maps of Land Subsidence Caused by Groundwater Exploitation in Hanoi, Vietnam. Resource-Efficient Technologies, 1(2): 80-89. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.reffit.2015.09.001
Pu, C.H., Xu, Q., Zhao, K.Y., et al., 2021. Land Uplift Monitoring and Analysis in Yan’an New District Based on SBAS-InSAR Technology. Geomatics and Information Science of Wuhan University, 46(7): 983-993 (in Chinese with English abstract).
Shahin, M. A., Maier, H. R., Jaksa, M. B., 2003. Settlement Prediction of Shallow Foundations on Granular Soils Using B-Spline Neurofuzzy Models. Computers and Geotechnics, 30(8): 637-647. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compgeo.2003.09.004
Shao, Q., Li, W., Han, G. J., et al., 2021. A Deep Learning Model for Forecasting Sea Surface Height Anomalies and Temperatures in the South China Sea. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 126(7): e2021JC017515. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JC017515
Shearer, T. R., 1998. A Numerical Model to Calculate Land Subsidence, Applied at Hangu in China. Engineering Geology, 49(2): 85-93. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0013-7952(97)00074-4
Shi, L. Y., Gong, H. L., Chen, B. B., et al., 2020. Land Subsidence Prediction Induced by Multiple Factors Using Machine Learning Method. Remote Sensing, 12(24): 4044. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs12244044
Shi, X. Q., Wu, J. C., Ye, S. J., et al., 2008. Regional Land Subsidence Simulation in Su-Xi-Chang Area and Shanghai City, China. Engineering Geology, 100(1/2): 27-42. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2008.02.011
Shin, Y., Ghosh, J., 1995. Ridge Polynomial Networks. IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks, 6(3): 610-622. https://doi.org/10.1109/72.377967
Su, H. Y., Hu, Z. Z., 1980. Review of Land Subsidence Research abroad. Geology of Shanghai, 1(2): 65-77 (in Chinese with English abstract).
Waheeb, W., Ghazali, R., 2020. A Novel Error-Output Recurrent Neural Network Model for Time Series Forecasting. Neural Computing and Applications, 32(13): 9621-9647. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-019-04474-5
Waheeb, W., Ghazali, R., Herawan, T., 2016. Ridge Polynomial Neural Network with Error Feedback for Time Series Forecasting. PLoS One, 11(12): e0167248. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0167248
Waheeb, W., Ghazali, R., Hussain, A. J., 2018. Dynamic Ridge Polynomial Neural Network with Lyapunov Function for Time Series Forecasting. Applied Intelligence, 48(7): 1721-1738. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10489-017-1036-7
Wang, Y., Yang, G., 2014. Prediction of Composite Foundation Settlement Based on Multi-Variable Gray Model. Applied Mechanics and Materials, 580/581/582/583: 669-673. https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amm.580-583.669
Williams, R. J., Zipser, D., 1989. A Learning Algorithm for Continually Running Fully Recurrent Neural Networks. Neural Computation, 1(2): 270-280. https://doi.org/10.1162/neco.1989.1.2.270
Yin, Y.P., Zhang, Z.C., Zhang, K.J., 2005. Land Subsidence and Countermeasures for Its Prevention in China. The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control, 16(2): 1-8 (in Chinese with English abstract).
Zhang, H. X., 2021. Research on Monitoring and Prediction of Subsidence in Yan’an New Area Based on InSAR and Machine Learning (Dissertation). Lanzhou University, Lanzhou (in Chinese with English abstract).
Zhang, Y. L., Zhang, Y. H., 2013. Land Subsidence Prediction Method of Power Cables Pipe Jacking Based on the Peck Theory. Advanced Materials Research, 634/635/636/637/638: 3721-3724. https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amr.634-638.3721
Zhou, C. D., Lan, H. X., Bürgmann, R., et al., 2022. Application of an Improved Multi-Temporal InSAR Method and Forward Geophysical Model to Document Subsidence and Rebound of the Chinese Loess Plateau Following Land Reclamation in the Yan’an New District. Remote Sensing of Environment, 279: 113102. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2022.113102

Comments

PDF(5408 KB)

Accesses

Citation

Detail

Sections
Recommended

/